Journal
PERSONALITY AND SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY BULLETIN
Volume 29, Issue 5, Pages 559-567Publisher
SAGE PUBLICATIONS INC
DOI: 10.1177/0146167203029005001
Keywords
false consensus; uniqueness bias; pluralistic ignorance; false polarization; water conservation
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A 5-day field study (N = 415) during and right after a shower ban demonstrated multifaceted social projection and the tendency to draw personality inferences from simple behavior in a time of drastic consensus change. Bathers thought showering was more prevalent than did non-bathers (false consensus) and respondents consistently underestimated the prevalence of the desirable and common behavior-be it not showering during the shower ban or showering after the ban (uniqueness bias). Participants thought that bathers and non-bathers during the ban differed greatly in their general concern for the community, but self-reports demonstrated that this gap was illusory (false polarization). Finally, bathers thought other bathers cared less than they did, whereas non-bathers thought other non-bathers cared more than they did (pluralistic ignorance). The study captures the many biases at work in social perception in a time of social change.
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