Journal
MANAGEMENT SCIENCE
Volume 50, Issue 5, Pages 617-629Publisher
INFORMS
DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.1040.0225
Keywords
long-term profitability; sales promotions; category management; manufacturers versus retailers; empirical generalizations; vector autoregressive models
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Do price promotions generate additional revenue and for whom? Which brand, category, and market conditions influence promotional benefits and their allocation across manufacturers and retailers? To answer these questions, we conduct a large-scale econometric investigation of the effects of price promotions on manufacturer revenues, retailer revenues, and total profits (margins). A first major finding is that a price promotion typically does not have permanent monetary effects for either party. Second, price promotions have a predominantly positive impact on manufacturer revenues, but their effects on retailer revenues are mixed. Moreover, retailer category margins are typically reduced by price promotions. Even when accounting for cross-category and store-traffic effects, we still find evidence that price promotions are typically not beneficial to the retailer. Third, our results indicate that manufacturer revenue elasticities are higher for promotions of small-share brands, for frequently promoted brands and for national brands in impulse product categories with a low degree of brand proliferation and low private-label shares. Retailer revenue elasticities are higher for brands with frequent and shallow promotions, for impulse products, and in categories with a low degree of brand proliferation. Finally, retailer margin elasticities are higher for promotions of small-share brands and for brands with infrequent and shallow promotions. We discuss the managerial implications of our results for both manufacturers and retailers.
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