Journal
MALARIA JOURNAL
Volume 3, Issue -, Pages -Publisher
BMC
DOI: 10.1186/1475-2875-3-32
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Background: Climate is a major driving force behind malaria transmission and climate data are often used to account for the spatial, seasonal and interannual variation in malaria transmission. Methods: This paper describes a mathematical-biological model of the parasite dynamics, comprising both the weather-dependent within-vector stages and the weather-independent within-host stages. Results: Numerical evaluations of the model in both time and space show that it qualitatively reconstructs the prevalence of infection. Conclusion: A process-based modelling structure has been developed that may be suitable for the simulation of malaria forecasts based on seasonal weather forecasts.
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