4.2 Article

Global spread of infectious diseases

Journal

JOURNAL OF BIOLOGICAL SYSTEMS
Volume 12, Issue 3, Pages 289-300

Publisher

WORLD SCIENTIFIC PUBL CO PTE LTD
DOI: 10.1142/S0218339004001154

Keywords

epidemics; infections; SARS; viruses; disease

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We develop simple models for the global spread of infectious diseases, emphasizing human mobility via air travel and the variation of public health infrastructure from region to region. We derive formulas relating the total and peak number of infections in two countries to the rate of travel between them and their respective epidemiological parameters.

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