Journal
PESQUISA AGROPECUARIA BRASILEIRA
Volume 39, Issue 11, Pages 1057-1064Publisher
EMPRESA BRASIL PESQ AGROPEC
DOI: 10.1590/S0100-204X2004001100001
Keywords
climatic change; agroclimatic zoning; Coffea arabica
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According to the last report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). the global temperature is supposed to increase 1degreesC to 5.8degreesC and the rainfall 15% in the Tropical area. This paper analyses the effect that these possible scenarios would have in the agroclimatic zoning of the arabic coffee (Coffea arabica L.) main plantation areas in Brazil. The results indicated a reduction of suitable areas greater than 95% in Goias, Minas Gerais and S (a) over tildeo Paulo and about 75% for Parana in the case of a temperature increase of 5.8degreesC. These results presume that all the physiological characteristics of the crop will be the, same for the varieties analyzed and that the ideal climatic condition for economic development is mean annual temperatures between 18degreesC and 23degreesC.
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