Modelling juvenile-mature wood transition in Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) using nonlinear mixed-effects models

Nonlinear mixed-effects-models are applied successfully to estimate the cambial age of juvenile-mature wood transition in Scots pine sample trees from slow-grown stands. Till now segmented regression models are applied separately for each pith-to-bark-profile of wood density. The nonlinear mixed-effects-model overcomes this limitation while consistently and efficiently estimating the transition point for the whole sample. Furthermore standard errors can be calculated and impacts of stand and tree variables on the shape of pith-to-bark-curves can be tested. Mean ring density, earlywood, and latewood density profiles from 99 trees were determined by X-ray densitometric analysis of disks taken at 4-m stem height. The cambial age of transition from juvenile to mature wood is described according to nonlinear mixed-effects-models based on latewood density profiles. The time-series nature of the data are taken into account. The segmented quadratic-linear model shows the transition at cambial age of 21.77, which vary with the probability of 0.95 within the interval of [18.31; 26.85]. Impacts of tree variables or stands on the location of the transition point were not found, but impacts of stands on the shape of pith-to-bark-curves.