4.4 Article

Monetary policy and exchange rate volatility in a small open economy

Journal

REVIEW OF ECONOMIC STUDIES
Volume 72, Issue 3, Pages 707-734

Publisher

OXFORD UNIV PRESS
DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-937X.2005.00349.x

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We lay out a small open economy version of the Calvo sticky price model, and show how the equilibrium dynamics can be reduced to a simple representation in domestic inflation and the output gap. We use the resulting framework to analyse the macroeconomic implications of three alternative rulebased policy regimes for the small open economy: domestic inflation and CPI-based Taylor rules, and an exchange rate peg. We show that a key difference among these regimes lies in the relative amount of exchange rate volatility that they entail. We also discuss a special case for which domestic inflation targeting constitutes the optimal policy, and where a simple second order approximation to the utility of the representative consumer can be derived and used to evaluate the welfare losses associated with the suboptimal rules.

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