4.5 Article

Children's thinking about counterfactuals and future hypotheticals as possibilities

Journal

CHILD DEVELOPMENT
Volume 77, Issue 2, Pages 413-426

Publisher

WILEY
DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-8624.2006.00879.x

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Two experiments explored whether children's correct answers to counterfactual and future hypothetical questions were based on an understanding of possibilities. Children played a game in which a toy mouse could run down either 1 of 2 slides. Children found it difficult to mark physically both possible outcomes, compared to reporting a single hypothetical future event, What if next time he goes the other way ... (Experiment 1: 3-4-year-olds and 4-5-year-olds), or a single counterfactual event, What if he had gone the other way ...? (Experiment 2: 3-4-year-olds and 5-6-year-olds). An open counterfactual question, Could he have gone anywhere else?, which required thinking about the counterfactual as an alternative possibility, was also relatively difficult.

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