4.7 Article Proceedings Paper

Population shifts and the future of stroke: forecasts of the future burden of stroke

Publisher

BLACKWELL SCIENCE PUBL
DOI: 10.1111/j.1749-6632.2012.06665.x

Keywords

stroke; incidence; aging; race; projections

Funding

  1. National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke [NS 041588]
  2. NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF NEUROLOGICAL DISORDERS AND STROKE [U01NS041588] Funding Source: NIH RePORTER

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Population distribution estimates by age and race/ethnicity from the U.S. Census Bureau for the years 2010 and 2050 were combined with estimates of stroke incidence from population-based surveillance studies to forecast the distribution of incident stroke cases for the years 2010 and 2050. Over these 40 years, the number of incident strokes will more than double, with the majority of the increase among the elderly (age 75+) and minority groups (particularly Hispanics). These increases are likely to present major logistical, scientific, and ethnical issues in the near future.

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