4.6 Article

OPTIMAL SPARSE VOLATILITY MATRIX ESTIMATION FOR HIGH-DIMENSIONAL ITO PROCESSES WITH MEASUREMENT ERRORS

Journal

ANNALS OF STATISTICS
Volume 41, Issue 4, Pages 1816-1864

Publisher

INST MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS
DOI: 10.1214/13-AOS1128

Keywords

Large matrix estimation; measurement error; minimax lower bound; multi-scale; optimal convergence rate; sparsity; subGaussian tail; threshold; volatility matrix estimator

Funding

  1. NSF [DMS-10-5635, DMS-12-65203]
  2. NSF Career Award [DMS-0645676]
  3. NSF FRG [DMS-08-54975]
  4. Direct For Mathematical & Physical Scien
  5. Division Of Mathematical Sciences [1265203] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
  6. Division Of Mathematical Sciences
  7. Direct For Mathematical & Physical Scien [1005635] Funding Source: National Science Foundation

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Stochastic processes are often used to model complex scientific problems in fields ranging from biology and finance to engineering and physical science. This paper investigates rate-optimal estimation of the volatility matrix of a high-dimensional Ito process observed with measurement errors at discrete time points. The minimax rate of convergence is established for estimating sparse volatility matrices. By combining the multi-scale and threshold approaches we construct a volatility matrix estimator to achieve the optimal convergence rate. The minimax lower bound is derived by considering a subclass of Ito processes for which the minimax lower bound is obtained through a novel equivalent model of covariance matrix estimation for independent but nonidentically distributed observations and through a delicate construction of the least favorable parameters. In addition, a simulation study was conducted to test the finite sample performance of the optimal estimator, and the simulation results were found to support the established asymptotic theory.

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