Can the presence of carotid artery calcification on panoramic radiographs predict the risk of vascular diseases among 80-year-olds?

Objective. The purpose of this study was to evaluate whether subsequent vascular diseases and related death could be predicted by the presence of carotid artery calcification detected on panoramic radiographs among elderly persons. Study design. We evaluated 659 panoramic radiographs from 262 male and 397 female 80-year-old subjects and their general medical examination data to assess the relationship between the presence of carotid artery calcification and vascular disease risk at baseline examination. Of these subjects, the occurrence of vascular diseases within 5 years after baseline examination was examined in 191 subjects. Further, the causes of death were examined in 108 subjects who died within 5 years after baseline examination. Results. There was a significant difference in the history of past vascular diseases among subjects with and without carotid artery calcifications; however, no significant difference in the occurrence of subsequent vascular diseases was found among them. Further, there was no significant difference in the occurrence of vascular disease-related death within 5 years after baseline examination among subjects with and without carotid artery calcifications (P = 0.719). Conclusion. Our results suggest that the presence of carotid artery calcifications on panoramic radiographs may be related to the history of past vascular diseases; however, this is not a useful marker for subsequent vascular diseases and related death among 80-year-olds.