Journal
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
Volume 58, Issue 3, Pages 579-591Publisher
ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2005.07.032
Keywords
impacts of climate change; human health; computable general equilibrium
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We study the economic impacts of climate-change-induced change in human health, viz. cardiovascular and respiratory disorders, diarrhoea, malaria, dengue fever and schistosomiasis. Changes in morbidity and mortality are interpreted as changes in labour productivity and demand for health care, and used to shock the GTAP-E computable general equilibrium model, calibrated for the year 2050. GDP, welfare and investment fall (rise) in regions with net negative (positive) health impacts. Prices, production, and terms of trade show a mixed pattern. Direct cost estimates, common in climate change impact studies, underestimate the true welfare losses. (c) 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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