Journal
CHINESE SCIENCE BULLETIN
Volume 51, Issue 23, Pages 2926-2930Publisher
SCIENCE PRESS
DOI: 10.1007/s11434-006-2186-x
Keywords
multivariate compound extreme value distribution; Nested-Logistic model; extreme sea state; threshold value
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In this paper, a new type of distribution, multivariate compound extreme value distribution (MCEVD), is introduced by compounding a discrete distribution with a multivariate continuous distribution of extreme sea events. In its engineering application the number over certain threshold level per year is fitting to Poisson distribution and the corresponding extreme sea events are fitting to Nested Logistic distribution, then the Poisson-Nested logistic trivariate compound extreme value distribution (PNLTCED) is proposed to predict extreme wave heights, periods and wind speeds in Yellow Sea. The new model gives more stable and reasonable predicted results.
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