Journal
JOURNAL OF URBAN ECONOMICS
Volume 61, Issue 1, Pages 152-169Publisher
ACADEMIC PRESS INC ELSEVIER SCIENCE
DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2006.07.001
Keywords
multiple equilibria; German city growth; new economic geography; WWII shock
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Based on the methodology of Davis and Weinstein, we look for multiple equilibria in German city growth. Bytaking the bombing of Germany during WWII as an example of a large, temporary shock, we analyze whether German city growth is characterized by multiple equilibria. In doing so, we allow for spatial interdependencies between cities. The main findings are twofold. First, multiple equilibria are present in German city growth. Our evidence supports a model with two stable equilibria. Second, the inclusion of geography matters. The evidence for multiple equilibria is weaker when spatial interdependencies are not taken into account. (c) 2006 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
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