Journal
ECOLOGY LETTERS
Volume 10, Issue 7, Pages 551-563Publisher
WILEY
DOI: 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2007.01047.x
Keywords
Bayesian statistics; density dependence; Fisher information; frequentist statistics; generalized linear mixed models; hierarchical models; Markov chain Monte Carlo; state-space models; stochastic population models
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We introduce a new statistical computing method, called data cloning, to calculate maximum likelihood estimates and their standard errors for complex ecological models. Although the method uses the Bayesian framework and exploits the computational simplicity of the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, it provides valid frequentist inferences such as the maximum likelihood estimates and their standard errors. The inferences are completely invariant to the choice of the prior distributions and therefore avoid the inherent subjectivity of the Bayesian approach. The data cloning method is easily implemented using standard MCMC software. Data cloning is particularly useful for analysing ecological situations in which hierarchical statistical models, such as state-space models and mixed effects models, are appropriate. We illustrate the method by fitting two nonlinear population dynamics models to data in the presence of process and observation noise.
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