Journal
AIDS
Volume 21, Issue 12, Pages 1625-1629Publisher
LIPPINCOTT WILLIAMS & WILKINS
DOI: 10.1097/QAD.0b013e32826fb6a6
Keywords
acute infection; HIV transmission; mathematical model; serostatus awareness
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Funding
- NIMH NIH HHS [R01 MH 077511, P30 MH052776-149007, P30 MH 52776, R01 MH077511-01A1, R01 MH077511, P30 MH052776] Funding Source: Medline
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Objective: To estimate the number of persons in the USA who acquire HIV as a consequence of risky sexual activities with an acutely-infected sex partner. Methods: Estimates of the number of incident infections in the USA that are due to acute-phase HIV transmission were derived from a simple mathematical model that combined epidemiological data with information regarding the relative transmission rates for acutely-infected, nonacutely infected but serostatus-unaware, and serostatus-aware persons living with HIV. Results Approximately 2760 (8.6%) of the estimated 32000 sexually-acquired HIV infections in the USA each year are due to acute-phase transmission of the virus. Multivariate sensitivity analyses with a liberal range of values for key parameters produced an upper bound of 5537 infections, representing 17.3% of the total number of sexually-acquired infections. Conclusions Acute-phase HIV transmission accounts for fewer sexually-acquired infections in the USA than is generally assumed. (c) 2007 Lippincott Williams & Wilkins.
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