Long-term variability of winter nitrate concentrations in the Northern Wadden Sea driven by freshwater discharge, decreasing riverine loads and denitritication

The hypothesis of a recent reversal in the eutrophication of the Wadden Sea and the potential of inshore waters in denitrification is explored. Salinity, temperature and nitrate concentrations in the List Tidal Basin (Northern Wadden Sea) have been measured about twice weekly since 1984. Salinity has a clear seasonal cycle with lowest salinities of about 27 in late winter and highest salinities of about 31 in summer. Mean annual deviations from the long-term mean salinity correlate significantly with riverine freshwater discharge. Winter nitrate concentrations are generally high (about 50 mu M on average). The major part of the variability is related to salinity (similar to 35%). Temperature had a minor impact (similar to 1%). Superimposed on this, a long-term decrease of about I mu M per year was found. Together, these processes account for about 45% of the nitrate variability. The long-term decrease of about 2% per year is similar to continental riverine trend in total nitrogen loads. In contrast to the List Tidal Basin, salinity explained more than 90% of nitrate variability in the off-shore German Bight. Salinity (30) normalised winter nitrate data of the German Bight also show a long-term decreasing trend. Most of the List Tidal Basin data are either on or below the nitrate-salinity relation found in the German Bight. This observation suggests that denitrification has a major impact on the winter nitrate concentrations in the Northern Wadden Sea compared to the German Bight. It is hypothesised that a large part of the unexplained variability is related to weather-dependent changes in residence time of tidal water masses in the Wadden Sea and circulation patterns within the German Bight.