Journal
AMERICAN JOURNAL OF HYPERTENSION
Volume 26, Issue 10, Pages 1210-1217Publisher
OXFORD UNIV PRESS
DOI: 10.1093/ajh/hpt092
Keywords
blood pressure; blood pressure variability; hypertension; mortality; myocardial infarction; stroke
Categories
Funding
- NHLBI Cardiovascular Disease Training Grant, NIH [I-T32-HL07902]
- National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) [HHSN268201200036C, N01-HC-85239, N01-HC-85079, N01-HC-85080, N01-HC-85081, N01-HC-85082, N01-HC-85083, N01-HC-85084, N01-HC-85085, N01-HC-85086, N01-HC-35129, N01 HC-15103, N01 HC-55222, N01-HC-75150, N01-HC-45133, HL080295]
- National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (NINDS)
- National Institute on Aging (NIA) [AG-023629, AG-15928, AG-20098, AG-027058]
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BACKGROUND Recent reports have linked variability in visit-to-visit systolic blood pressure (SBP) to risk of mortality and stroke, independent of the effect of mean SBP level. This study aimed to evaluate whether variability in SBP is associated with all-cause mortality, incident myocardial infarction (MI), and incident stroke, independent of mean SBP or trends in SBP levels over time. METHODS The Cardiovascular Health Study is a longitudinal cohort study of vascular risk factors and disease in the elderly. Participants who attended their first 5 annual clinic visits and experienced no event before the 5th visit were eligible (n = 3,852). Primary analyses were restricted to participants not using antihypertensive medications throughout the first 5 clinic visits (n = 1,642). Intraindividual SBP variables were defined using each participant's 5-visit blood pressure measures. Cox proportional hazards models estimated adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) per SD increase in intraindividual SBP variability, adjusted for intraindividual SBP mean and change over time. RESULTS Over a mean follow-up of 9.9 years, there were 844 deaths, 203 MIs, and 195 strokes. Intraindividual SBP variability was significantly associated with increased risk of mortality (HR = 1.13; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.05-1.21) and of incident MI (HR = 1.20; 95% CI = 1.06-1.36), independent of the effect from adjustment factors. Intraindividual SBP variability was not associated with risk of stroke (HR = 1.03; 95% CI = 0.89-1.21). CONCLUSIONS Long-term visit-to-visit SBP variability was independently associated with a higher risk of subsequent mortality and MI but not stroke. More research is needed to determine the relationship of BP variability with cardiovascular risk and the clinical implications.
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