4.6 Article

An intercomparison of CMIP5 and CMIP3 models for interannual variability of summer precipitation in Pan-Asian monsoon region

Journal

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
Volume 35, Issue 13, Pages 3770-3780

Publisher

WILEY
DOI: 10.1002/joc.4245

Keywords

CMIP3; CMIP5; Pan-Asian monsoon

Funding

  1. National Natural Science Foundation of China [41130103, 41210007]

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Twenty-one climate models from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 3 (CMIP3) and thirty-one models from the project's Phase 5 (CMIP5) were used to evaluate model reproducibility in assessing interannual variability of summer precipitation in Pan-Asian monsoon region. The results show that both the multi-model ensemble means of the best eight models and of the thirty-one CMIP5 models are more skilful than those of the CMIP3 models in simulating the climatological pattern and the dominant mode of summer precipitation in Pan-Asian monsoon region. CMIP5 models show improved skill in representing the main characteristic of the first mode of summer precipitation in Pan-Asian monsoon region, which is a meridional tripole pattern from north to south occurring east of the 80 degrees E region. That is, owing to the improved El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) pattern and the relationship between Antarctic oscillation in the southern Pacific Ocean (AAO(SP)) and ENSO, the first dominant mode of summer precipitation in Pan-Asian monsoon region are captured by CMIP5 models, which indicates that these models are more skilful in simulating the air-sea interaction of the Southern Hemisphere.

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