Journal
SCIENCE COMMUNICATION
Volume 30, Issue 4, Pages 534-543Publisher
SAGE PUBLICATIONS INC
DOI: 10.1177/1075547009333698
Keywords
climate change; climate models; prediction; projection; survey of climate scientists
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A survey among climate scientists is used to examine the terminology concerning two key concepts in climate science, namely, predictions and projections, as used among climate scientists. The survey data suggest that the terminology used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change is not adopted, or only loosely adopted, by a significant minority of scientists. Contrary to established guidelines, approximately 29% of the respondents associate probable developments with projections, and approximately 20% of the respondents associate possible developments with predictions.
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