Stochastic sensitivity analysis for timing and amplitude of pressure waves in the arterial system

In the field of computational hemodynamics, sensitivity quantification of pressure and flow wave dynamics has received little attention. This work presents a novel study of the sensitivity of pressure-wave timing and amplitude in the arterial system with respect to arterial stiffness. Arterial pressure and flow waves were simulated with a one-dimensional distributed wave propagation model for compliant arterial networks. Sensitivity analysis of this model was based on a generalized polynomial chaos expansion evaluated by a stochastic collocation method. First-order statistical sensitivity indices were formulated to assess the effect of arterial stiffening on timing and amplitude of the pressure wave and backward-propagating pressure wave in the ascending aorta, at the maximum pressure and inflection point in the systolic phase. Only the stiffness of aortic arteries was found to significantly influence timing and amplitude of the backward-propagating pressure wave, whereas other large arteries in the systemic tree showed marginal impact. Furthermore, the ascending aorta, aortic arch, thoracic aorta, and infrarenal abdominal aorta had the largest influence on amplitude, whereas only the thoracic aorta influenced timing. Our results showed that the non-intrusive polynomial chaos expansion is an efficient method to compute statistical sensitivity measures for wave propagation models. These sensitivities provide new knowledge in the relative importance of arterial stiffness at various locations in the arterial network. Moreover, they will significantly influence clinical data collection and effective composition of the arterial tree for in-silico clinical studies. Copyright (c) 2015John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.