Journal
TOURISM MANAGEMENT
Volume 31, Issue 6, Pages 744-753Publisher
ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.tourman.2009.07.015
Keywords
Regional; Climate; Outbound tourism demand; Destination choice; Domestic tourism; International tourism
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This paper describes the relationship between regional climate in the home area and the choice of taking holidays in the region of origin or abroad. This decision is simultaneously estimated with a bivariate probit model. The study combines the socioeconomic characteristics of European households with information on the region of residence, such as climate, which is defined according to a new annualized climate index. The estimated probabilities are analysed using GIS and nonparametric techniques. The results of modelling support the hypothesis that the climate in the region of residence is a strong determinant of holiday destination choice. They show that residents in regions with better climate indices have a higher probability of travelling domestically and a lower probability of travelling abroad. (C) 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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