Journal
ANNALS OF TOURISM RESEARCH
Volume 38, Issue 2, Pages 630-650Publisher
PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.annals.2010.11.014
Keywords
economic impacts; linkage analysis; input output analysis; tourism area life cycle; computable general equilibrium model
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Many agricultural-based economies over the last fifty years have transitioned to service-dominant economies. Tourism is often a large part of this transition. It is often unclear how the output and income impacts of tourism change as the value and volume of tourism evolves. This research uses a variety of tools to evaluate the economic importance of tourism to Hawaii as it moves through the Tourism Area Life Cycle (TALC). The results show that the size of tourism's economic contribution is dependent on the import propensity of tourists' spend as well as the import propensities of tourism oriented sectors and their backward and forward linkages while the CGE model highlights the fact that welfare is maximised at the zenith of tourism growth.
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