Journal
REVIEW OF ECONOMIC DYNAMICS
Volume 14, Issue 2, Pages 295-316Publisher
ACADEMIC PRESS INC ELSEVIER SCIENCE
DOI: 10.1016/j.red.2010.12.001
Keywords
Business cycle accounting; DSGE models; Small open economy; Sudden stops
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This paper evaluates which type of models can account for recent episodes of output drops in Latin America. I develop an open economy version of the business cycle accounting methodology (Chari et al., 2007) in which output fluctuations are decomposed into four sources: total factor productivity (TFP), a labor wedge, a capital wedge, and a bond wedge. The paper shows that the most promising models are the ones that induce fluctuations of TFP and the labor wedge. On the other hand, models of financial frictions that translate into a bond or capital wedge are not successful in explaining output drops in Latin America. The paper also discusses the implications of these results for policy analysis using alternative DSGE models. (C) 2010 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
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