Journal
JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL AND QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS
Volume 46, Issue 2, Pages 585-603Publisher
CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS
DOI: 10.1017/S0022109010000797
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Using a unique database of aggregate daily flows to equity mutual funds in Israel, we find strong support for the temporary price pressure hypothesis regarding mutual fund flows: Mutual fund flows create temporary price pressure that is subsequently corrected. We find that flows are positively autocorrelated, and are correlated with market returns (R-2 of 20%). Our main finding is that approximately one-half of the price change is reversed within 10 trading days. This support for the temporary price pressure hypothesis complements microstructure research concerning price impact and price noise in stocks by indicating price noise at the aggregate market level.
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