4.6 Article

American Heart Association's Life Simple 7 and Risk of Atrial Fibrillation in a Population Without Known Cardiovascular Disease: The ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) Study

Journal

Publisher

WILEY
DOI: 10.1161/JAHA.117.008424

Keywords

atrial fibrillation; prevention; risk factors/global assessment; risk prediction

Funding

  1. National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute [HHSN268201100005C, HHSN268201100006C, HHSN268201100007C, HHSN268201100008C, HHSN268201100009C, HHSN268201100010C, HHSN268201100011C, HHSN268201100012C]
  2. National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute of the National Institutes of Health [F32HL134290, R01 HL126637]
  3. American Heart Association [16EIA26410001]

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Background-The American Heart Association has defined metrics of ideal cardiovascular health known as Life's Simple 7 (LS7) to prevent cardiovascular disease. We examined the association between LS7 and incident atrial fibrillation (AF) in a biracial cohort of middle- and older-aged adults without known cardiovascular disease. Methods and Results-This analysis included 13 182 ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study participants (mean baseline age 54 +/- 5.7 years; 56% women; 25% black) free of AF and cardiovascular disease. An overall LS7 score was calculated as the sum of the LS7 component scores and classified as inadequate (0-4), average (5-9), or optimal (10-14) cardiovascular health. The primary outcome was incident AF, identified primarily by ECG and hospital discharge coding of AF through December 31, 2014. A total of 2266 (17%) incident AF cases were detected over a median follow-up of 25.1 years. Compared with the inadequate category (n=1057), participants in the average (n=8629) and optimal (n=3496) categories each had a lower risk of developing AF in a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model (hazard ratio 0.59, 95% confidence interval 0.51, 0.67 for average; and hazard ratio 0.38, 95% confidence interval 0.32, 0.44 for optimal). In a similar model, a 1-point-higher LS7 score was associated with a 12% lower risk of incident AF (hazard ratio 0.88, 95% confidence interval 0.86, 0.89). Conclusions-A higher LS7 score is strongly associated with a lower risk of AF in individuals without baseline cardiovascular disease. Determining whether interventions that improve the population's cardiovascular health also reduce AF incidence is needed.

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