Journal
TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION
Volume 33, Issue 7, Pages 513-526Publisher
ELSEVIER SCIENCE LONDON
DOI: 10.1016/j.tree.2018.04.013
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Funding
- Wisconsin Alumni Research Foundation through a UW2020 grant from the Office of Vice Chancellor for Research and Graduate Education at the University of Wisconsin-Madison
- National Science Foundation [DBI-1402033, DEB-1719905, DEB-1353896, EF-1241868, DEB-1440297, DEB-1455461]
- Joint Fire Science Program [16-3-01-04]
- USGS [G11AC20456]
- Vilas Trust of the University of Wisconsin-Madison
- Hilldale Fund of the University of Wisconsin-Madison
- Direct For Biological Sciences
- Division Of Environmental Biology [GRANTS:13918298] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
- Division Of Environmental Biology
- Direct For Biological Sciences [1440297] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
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Abrupt ecological changes are, by definition, those that occur over short periods of time relative to typical rates of change for a given ecosystem. The potential for such changes is growing due to anthropogenic pressures, which challenges the resilience of societies and ecosystems. Abrupt ecological changes are difficult to diagnose because they can arise from a variety of circumstances, including rapid changes in external drivers (e.g., climate, or resource extraction), nonlinear responses to gradual changes in drivers, and interactions among multiple drivers and disturbances. We synthesize strategies for identifying causes of abrupt ecological change and highlight instances where abrupt changes are likely. Diagnosing abrupt changes and inferring causation are increasingly important as society seek to adapt to rapid, multifaceted environmental changes.
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