4.3 Article

The impact of China's stock market reforms on its international stock market linkages

Journal

QUARTERLY REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND FINANCE
Volume 52, Issue 4, Pages 358-368

Publisher

ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC
DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2012.10.003

Keywords

Multivariate GARCH model; Time-varying stock market linkages; China's stock market reforms; Stock market liberalisation

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This paper investigates how China's stock market reforms have affected the stock market linkages between China and Korea, Japan and the US respectively. We firstly use a 4 x 4 asymmetric GARCH-BEKK model and a series of likelihood ratio tests to uncover China's regional and global linkages between 1992 and 2010 and during three sub-periods representing the stages of the Chinese reforms. The results show that Chinese stock market is linked to these overseas markets and the reforms permit spillovers to these markets from China. The subsequent regression analyses of the time-varying conditional correlations, in the presence of growing economic integration, exchange rate risk and financial turbulence, further indicate that the interdependences between China and the regional markets increase due to the implementation of liberalisation policies. However, the correlation between China and the global market remains weak even though this correlation responds positively to the institutional reforms on China's stock market additionally. (C) 2012 The Board of Trustees of the University of Illinois. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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