4.5 Article

Evidence Synthesis for Stochastic Epidemic Models

Journal

STATISTICAL SCIENCE
Volume 33, Issue 1, Pages 34-43

Publisher

INST MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS
DOI: 10.1214/17-STS631

Keywords

Evidence synthesis; state-space models; epidemic modelling; mechanistic modelling

Funding

  1. Medical Research Council [MC_UU_00002/11] Funding Source: Medline
  2. Department of Health [11/46/03] Funding Source: Medline
  3. MRC [MC_UU_00002/11] Funding Source: UKRI
  4. Medical Research Council [MC_UU_00002/11] Funding Source: researchfish
  5. National Institute for Health Research [11/46/03] Funding Source: researchfish

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In recent years, the role of epidemic models in informing public health policies has progressively grown. Models have become increasingly realistic and more complex, requiring the use of multiple data sources to estimate all quantities of interest. This review summarises the different types of stochastic epidemic models that use evidence synthesis and highlights current challenges.

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