Journal
PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES
Volume 285, Issue 1873, Pages -Publisher
ROYAL SOC
DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2017.2329
Keywords
migration; climate change; Afro-Palaearctic migrants; distance; duration; stopovers
Categories
Funding
- Natural Environment Research Council [NE/I028068/1]
- US-UK Fulbright Commission
- Oxford Clarendon Fund
- Durham University Seedcorn grant
- National Environment Research Council [NE/J500215/1]
- NERC [NE/I028068/1] Funding Source: UKRI
- Natural Environment Research Council [1080221, smru10001, NE/I028068/1] Funding Source: researchfish
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Climate change is predicted to increase migration distances for many migratory species, but the physiological and temporal implications of longer migratory journeys have not been explored. Here, we combine information about species' flight range potential and migratory refuelling requirements to simulate the number of stopovers required and the duration of current migratory journeys for 77 bird species breeding in Europe. Using tracking data, we show that our estimates accord with recorded journey times and stopovers for most species. We then combine projections of altered migratory distances under climate change with models of avian flight to predict future migratory journeys. We find that 37% of migratory journeys undertaken by long-distance migrants will necessitate an additional stopover in future. These greater distances and the increased number of stops will substantially increase overall journey durations of many long-distance migratory species, a factor not currently considered in climate impact studies.
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