Journal
HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL-JOURNAL DES SCIENCES HYDROLOGIQUES
Volume 60, Issue 5, Pages 873-889Publisher
TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
DOI: 10.1080/02626667.2014.967246
Keywords
hydrology; Sen's slope; climate change; Mann-Kendall; Johor River; Malaysia; SWAT; land-use change; evaporation; streamflow
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Funding
- Ministry of Higher Education (MOHE) Malaysia
- Universiti Teknologi Malaysia (UTM) [R. J130000.7827.4F213]
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This study aims to investigate separate and combined impacts of land-use and climate variability on hydrological components in the Johor River Basin (JRB), Malaysia. The Mann-Kendall and Sen's slope tests were applied to detect the trends in precipitation, temperature and streamflow of the JRB. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was calibrated and validated using measured monthly streamflow data. The validation results showed that SWAT was reliable in the tropical JRB. The trend analysis showed that there was an insignificant increasing trend for streamflow, whereas significant increasing trends for precipitation and temperature were found. The combined (climate + land-use change) impact caused the annual streamflow and evaporation to increase by 4.4% and 1.2%, respectively. Climate (land-use) raised annual streamflow by 4.4% (0.06%) and evaporation by 2.2% (-0.2%). Climate change imposed a stronger impact than land-use change on the streamflow and evaporation. These findings are useful for decision makers to develop better water and land-use policies. [GRAPHICS] Editor Z. W. Kundzewicz; Guest editor V. Krysanova
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