3.8 Proceedings Paper

Machine learning in prediction of stock market indicators based on historical data and data from Twitter sentiment analysis.

Publisher

IEEE
DOI: 10.1109/ICDMW.2013.111

Keywords

Prediction; stock market indicator; Twitter; mood; psychological states; Support Vectors Machine; Neural Networks

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Development of linguistic technologies and penetration of social media provide powerful possibilities to investigate users' moods and psychological states of people. In this paper we discussed possibility to improve accuracy of stock market indicators predictions by using data about psychological states of Twitter users. For analysis of psychological states we used lexicon-based approach, which allow us to evaluate presence of eight basic emotions in more than 755 million tweets. The application of Support Vectors Machine and Neural Networks algorithms to predict DJIA and S&P500 indicators are discussed.

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