Dynamic probabilistic design for blade deformation with SVM-ERSM

Purpose - This paper aims to reasonably quantify the radial deformation of turbine blade from a probabilistic design perspective. A probabilistic design for turbine blade radial deformation considering non-linear dynamic influences can quantify risk and thus control blade tip clearance to further develop the high performance and high reliability of aeroengine. Moreover, the need for a cost-effective design has resulted in the development of probabilistic design method with high computational efficiency and accuracy to quantify the effects of these uncertainties. Design/methodology/approach - An extremum response surface method-based support vector machine (SVM-ERSM) was proposed based on SVM of regression to improve the computational efficiency and precision of blade radial deformation dynamic probabilistic design regarding non-linear material properties and dynamically thermal and mechanical loads. Findings - Through the example calculation and comparison of methods, the results show that the blade radial deformation reaches at the maximum at t = 180 s; the probabilistic distribution and inverse probabilistic features of output parameters and the major factors (rotor speed and gas temperature) are gained; besides, the SVM-ERSM holds high computational efficiency and precision in the non-linear dynamic probabilistic design of aeroengine typical components. Practical implications - The present efforts provide a method to design turbine besides other aeroengine components considering dynamic and non-linear factors base on probabilistic design for further research. Social implications - Moreover, the present study provides a way to design dynamic (motion) structures from a probabilistic perspective. Originality/value - It is proved that the dynamic probabilistic design-based SVM-ERSM could produce a more reasonable blade radial deformation while maintaining low failure probability, as well as offer a useful reference for blade-tip clearance control and a promising insight to the optimal design of aeroengine typical components.