4.4 Article

Which comes first - urbanization or economic growth? Evidence from heterogeneous panel causality tests

Journal

APPLIED ECONOMICS LETTERS
Volume 22, Issue 5, Pages 349-355

Publisher

ROUTLEDGE JOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2014.943877

Keywords

urbanization; economic growth; heterogeneous panel causality; O55; O54; O18; C23

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Heterogeneous panel causality tests are employed to consider the relationship between urbanization change and economic growth. Urbanization causes economic growth in high-income countries, but noncausality could not be rejected for both middle-income and Latin American countries. A bi-directional, equilibrium relationship is observed for low-income, predominately African countries where economic growth has a positive, causal effect on urbanization, but where urbanization has a negative, causal effect on economic growth. Hence, urbanization and economic growth either co-evolve in low-income/African and high-income countries, or else the two processes are decoupled for middle-income and Latin American countries.

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