Journal
EMERGING INFECTIOUS DISEASES
Volume 21, Issue 4, Pages 600-608Publisher
CENTERS DISEASE CONTROL
DOI: 10.3201/eid2104.141033
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- GlaxoSmithKline
- Novartis
- Pfizer
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We estimated deaths attributable to influenza and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) among persons >= 5 years of age in South Africa during 1998-2009 by applying regression models to monthly deaths and laboratory surveillance data. Rates were expressed per 100,000 person-years. The mean annual number of seasonal influenza associated deaths was 9,093 (rate 21.6). Persons >= 65 years of age and HIV-positive persons accounted for 50% (n = 4,552) and 28% (n = 2,564) of overall seasonal influenza-associated deaths, respectively. In 2009, we estimated 4,113 (rate 9.2) influenza A(H1N1) pdm09-associated deaths. The mean of annual RSV-associated deaths during the study period was 511 (rate 1.2); no RSV-associated deaths were estimated in persons >= 45 years of age. Our findings support the recommendation for influenza vaccination of older persons and HIV-positive persons. Surveillance for RSV should be strengthened to clarify the public health implications and severity of illness associated with RSV infection in South Africa.
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