Journal
WORLD DEVELOPMENT
Volume 70, Issue -, Pages 286-302Publisher
PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2015.01.013
Keywords
conflict; democratization; forecasting; governance; state capacity; Sustainable Development Goals
Categories
Funding
- Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures
Ask authors/readers for more resources
Covering three fundamental governance transitions historically characteristic of modern states the provision of security, the building of capacity, and the deepening of inclusion we offer a pioneering forecast of the future of domestic governance through the year 2060 for 183 countries utilizing a long-term, dynamic, integrated global futures modeling system. While our Base Case forecast anticipates global gains in security, capacity, and inclusion, extended scenario analysis suggests that timely and effective interventions to strengthen governance and implement pro-poor development policies will result in much greater advances on the Post-2015 Sustainable Development Goals. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Authors
I am an author on this paper
Click your name to claim this paper and add it to your profile.
Reviews
Recommended
No Data Available