Journal
CURRENT CLIMATE CHANGE REPORTS
Volume 1, Issue 2, Pages 74-84Publisher
SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
DOI: 10.1007/s40641-015-0011-9
Keywords
Tropical cyclones; Storm surges; Forecasting; Climate change; Sea-level rise; Coastal hazards
Categories
Funding
- National Sea Grant College Program of the U.S. Department of Commerce's National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration [NA10OAR4170099]
- Coastal Hazards Center of Excellence, based at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, under Department of Homeland Security [2008-ST-061-ND0001]
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Tropical cyclone storm surge represents a significant threat to communities around the world. These surge characteristics vary spatially and temporally over a range of scales; therefore, conceptual frameworks for understanding and mitigating them must be cast within a context of risk that covers the complete range of hazards, their consequences, and methods for mitigation. A review of primary overlapping time scales and associated spatial scales for tropical cyclone surge hazards covers two scales of particular interest: (1) synoptic-scale predictions used for warnings and evacuation decisions and (2) long-term estimation of hazards and related risks needed for coastal planning and decision-making. Factors that can affect these estimates, such as episodic variations in tropical cyclone characteristics and longer-term climate change and sea-level rise are then examined in the context of their potential impacts on hazards and risks related to tropical cyclone surges.
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