Journal
CURRENT DIRECTIONS IN PSYCHOLOGICAL SCIENCE
Volume 24, Issue 3, Pages 232-237Publisher
SAGE PUBLICATIONS INC
DOI: 10.1177/0963721414568341
Keywords
unrealistic optimism; comparative optimism; optimistic bias; risk judgments; risk perception
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Funding
- Intramural NIH HHS [Z99 CA999999] Funding Source: Medline
- NIDCR NIH HHS [U54 DE019261] Funding Source: Medline
- NIMHD NIH HHS [L60 MD006280] Funding Source: Medline
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People display unrealistic optimism in their predictions about countless events, believing that their personal future outcomes will be more desirable than can possibly be true. We summarize the vast literature on unrealistic optimism by focusing on four broad questions: What is unrealistic optimism, when does it occur, why does it occur, and what are its consequences? Unrealistic optimism can be operationalized in multiple ways; is commonplace yet has well-established boundary conditions; occurs for a variety of reasons; and has consequences for affect, decision making, and behavior.
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