Journal
REGIONAL STUDIES
Volume 49, Issue 7, Pages 1176-1192Publisher
ROUTLEDGE JOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
DOI: 10.1080/00343404.2013.812783
Keywords
Regional development; Migration change; Migration decomposition; China; R23
Funding
- Research Grants Council of Hong Kong SAR (RGC) [450107]
- Chinese University of Hong Kong [2021070]
- Research Grants Council of Hong Kong SAR (RGC) [450107]
- Chinese University of Hong Kong [2021070]
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Shen J. Explaining interregional migration changes in China, 1985-2000, using a decomposition approach, Regional Studies. This paper estimates the effects of changing parameters in migration models and the changing demographic, social, and economic attributes in origin and destinations on migration flows. A decomposition approach is developed based on multilevel Poisson migration models. Multilevel Poisson migration models are estimated for migration in China for the periods 1985-1990 and 1995-2000. Overall, the total inter-provincial migration was increased by 22 million in China from 1985-1990 to 1995-2000. The decomposition result shows that 62.28% of this increase was due to changes in the value of explanatory variables, while 37.72% was due to changes in the value of model parameters.
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