Journal
TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE
Volume 100, Issue -, Pages 267-276Publisher
ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2015.07.012
Keywords
Energy security; China; Climate change policy; Diversification; Electricity sector
Categories
Ask authors/readers for more resources
China's energy sector is under pressure to achieve secure and affordable supply and a clear decarbonisation path. We examine the longitudinal trajectory of the Chinese electricity supply security and model the near future supply security based on the 12th 5 Year Plan. Our approach combines the Shannon-Wiener, Herfindahl-Hirschman and electricity import dependence indices for supply security appraisal. We find that electricity portfolio innovation allows China to provide secure energy supply despite increasing import dependence. It is argued that long-term aggressive deployment of renewable energy will unblock China's coal-biased technological lock-in and increase supply security in all fronts. However, reduced supply diversity in China during the 1990s will not recover until after 2020s due to the long-term coal lock-in that can threaten to hold China back from realising its full potential. (C) 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Authors
I am an author on this paper
Click your name to claim this paper and add it to your profile.
Reviews
Recommended
No Data Available