4.2 Article

Dynamic risk and protective factors

Journal

PSYCHOLOGY CRIME & LAW
Volume 22, Issue 1-2, Pages 151-170

Publisher

ROUTLEDGE JOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
DOI: 10.1080/1068316X.2015.1112013

Keywords

community supervision; protective factors; desistance; criminal behaviour; Dynamic risk assessment

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This paper reviews the literature regarding the identification and measurement of risk factors considered imminent precipitants of subsequent criminal conduct (i.e. dynamic risk factors). This paper also frames these risk factors against the so-called protective factors that are presumed to mitigate risk. Commonality among recent dynamic risk and protective measures reflects general agreement regarding viable candidate variables. Empirical studies suggest such factors yield incremental predictive validity and should inform case-formulaic understanding of criminal conduct and pathways to desistance, although this is not common practice. As well, definitional and measurement considerations are not well advanced and speak to the need for further conceptual clarity.

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