Journal
EUROSURVEILLANCE
Volume 20, Issue 25, Pages 7-13Publisher
EUR CENTRE DIS PREVENTION & CONTROL
DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES2015.20.25.21163
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Funding
- Harvard Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics from the National Institute of General Medical Sciences [U54 GM088558]
- Health and Medical Research Fund, Food and Health Bureau, Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region [14131432, HKS-15-E05]
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South Korea is experiencing the largest outbreak of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus infections outside the Arabian Peninsula, with 166 laboratory-confirmed cases, including 24 deaths up to 19 June 2015. We estimated that the mean incubation period was 6.7 days and the mean serial interval 12.6 days. We found it unlikely that infectiousness precedes symptom onset. Based on currently available data, we predict an overall case fatality risk of 21% (95% credible interval: 14-31).
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