Journal
EUROSURVEILLANCE
Volume 20, Issue 25, Pages 14-18Publisher
EUR CENTRE DIS PREVENTION & CONTROL
DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES2015.20.25.21167
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Funding
- Medical Research Council [MR/K021524/1]
- RAPIDD program of the Science & Technology Directorate, Department of Homeland Security
- Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health
- Swiss National Science Foundation [136737]
- Medical Research Council [MR/K021524/1] Funding Source: researchfish
- MRC [MR/K021524/1] Funding Source: UKRI
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As at 15 June 2015, a large transmission cluster of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) was ongoing in South Korea. To examine the potential for such events, we estimated the level of heterogeneity in MERS-CoV transmission by analysing data on cluster size distributions. We found substantial potential for superspreading; even though it is likely that R-0 < 1 overall, our analysis indicates that cluster sizes of over 150 cases are not unexpected for MERS-CoV infection.
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