Long-term Mortality in Patients with Asymptomatic Carotid Stenosis: Implications for Statin Therapy

Objective: Recent studies with asymptomatic carotid patients on best medical management have shown that the annual risk of stroke has decreased to approximately 1%. There is no evidence that a similar decrease in mortality has occurred. In addition, the intensity of statin therapy for these patients has not yet been determined. The aims of this review were to determine (a) the reported long-term all-cause and cardiac-related mortality in patients with asymptomatic carotid stenosis (ACS) > 50%, (b) whether there has been a decrease in mortality in recent years, (c) the available methods of mortality risk stratification, and (d) whether the latest ACC/AHA guidelines on the treatment of serum lipids can be applied to this group of patients. Methods: Systematic review of PubMed, EuroPubMed, and Cochrane Library and meta-analysis using random effects for pooled proportions were performed regarding long-term all-cause and cardiac-related mortality and the associated risk factors in ACS patients. The last day for literature search was October 30, 2014. Results: Seventeen studies were retrieved reporting 5-year all-cause mortality in 11,391 patients with ACS >50%. The 5-year cumulative all-cause mortality across all 17 studies was 23.6% (95% Cl 20.50-26.80). Twelve additional studies, reporting both all-cause and cardiac mortality with a minimum of 2 year follow-up and involving 4,072 patients were identified. Of the 930 deaths reported, 589 (62.9%; 95% CI 58.81-66.89) were cardiac-related. This translates into an average cardiac-related mortality of 2.9% per year. Conclusions: All-cause and cardiac mortality in ACS patients are very high. Although risk stratification is possible, most patients are classified as high risk. In view of this high risk, aggressive statin therapy is indicated if the new ACC/AHA guidelines on serum lipids are to be adhered to. (C) 2015 European Society for Vascular Surgery. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.