Journal
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MARINE ENERGY
Volume 17, Issue -, Pages 98-109Publisher
ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijome.2017.01.003
Keywords
Offshore wind power; Wave power; Predictability
Categories
Funding
- JSPS KAKEN-HI [25340131, 16K00665, 16H03135]
- Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research [16H03135, 16K00665] Funding Source: KAKEN
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Offshore wind and wave power are expected to offer viable alternatives to fossil fuels in the future. We assessed the predictability of available global offshore wind and wave power for lead times of up to 9 days using a state-of-the-art wave model and a six-member multi-model ensemble of operational numerical weather predictions during the boreal summer and winter for the period 2008-2012. The results show that wave power is predictable over large areas of the global ocean with a prediction error of <20% at a lead time of 3 days. In the tropical ocean, wave power can be accurately predicted even 9 days in advance. The predictability of wind power was generally low compared to that of wave power. However, wind power can be predicted 5 days in advance with the lower ensemble spread in the Pacific trade wind zone. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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