4.7 Article

Stability and bifurcation analysis of an SIR epidemic model with logistic growth and saturated treatment

Journal

CHAOS SOLITONS & FRACTALS
Volume 99, Issue -, Pages 63-71

Publisher

PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2017.03.047

Keywords

SIR epidemic model; Logistic growth; Saturated treatment; Equilibrium; Stability; Bifurcation

Funding

  1. Natural Science Foundation of Xinjiang [2016D03022]
  2. Doctorial Subjects Foundation of The Ministry of Education of China [2013651110001]
  3. National Natural Science Foundation of P.R. China [11271312]

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In this paper, we introduce the saturated treatment and logistic growth rate into an SIR epidemic model with bilinear incidence. The treatment function is assumed to be a continuously differential function which describes the effect of delayed treatment when the medical condition is limited and the number of infected individuals is large enough. Sufficient conditions for the existence and local stability of the disease-free and positive equilibria are established. And the existence of the stable limit cycles also is obtained. Moreover, by using the theory of bifurcations, it is shown that the model exhibits backward bifurcation, Hopf bifurcation and Bogdanov-Takens bifurcations. Finally, the numerical examples are given to illustrate the theoretical results and obtain some additional interesting phenomena, involving double stable periodic solutions and stable limit cycles. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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