Modeling dengue data from Semarang, Indonesia

Dengue fever is a viral mosquito-borne infection which in recent years has become a major international public health concern, a leading cause of illness and death in tropical and subtropical regions. Models from mathematical epidemiology, like the classical SIR-model and its variants, are used to describe the spread of dengue in a given population. Based on data of hospitalized dengue cases for the city of Semarang, Northern Java, Indonesia, we identify certain parameters in a simplified IR-model. In a second step, we connect those model parameters to available meteorological data, like precipitation. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.