Journal
NATURAL HAZARDS REVIEW
Volume 18, Issue 3, Pages -Publisher
ASCE-AMER SOC CIVIL ENGINEERS
DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000237
Keywords
Evacuation; Protective action decision model; Hurricane Katrina; Hurricane Rita; Mediation effects
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Funding
- National Science Foundation [SBE-0527699, SES-0838654, IIS-1212790]
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This study extends previous research by testing the protective action decision model (PADM) on hurricane evacuation decisions during Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. An examination of this mediation model shows that a household's evacuation decision, as predicted, is determined most directly by expected wind impacts and expected evacuation impediments. In turn, expected wind impacts and expected hydrological impacts are primarily determined by expected storm threat and expected rapid onset. Finally, expected storm threat, expected rapid onset, and expected evacuation impediments are determined by households' personal characteristics, their reception of hurricane information, and their observations of social and environmental cues. These results are generally consistent with the PADM and reinforce the importance of testing multistage multiequation models of hurricane evacuation.
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