Association between matrix metalloproteinase-9 and worsening heart failure events in patients with chronic heart failure

Aims Matrix metalloproteinase (MMP) is up-regulated during heart failure (HF) and influences ventricular remodeling. We hypothesized that disparity between MMP-9 and tissue inhibitors of MMP-1 (TIMP-1) results in clinical manifestations and is related to prognostic risk in patients with chronic HF. Methods and results Plasma levels of MMP-9, TIMP-1, and brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) were measured in 173 patients with chronic HF. Combined endpoints of worsening HF events were assessed during follow-up (median 109 months). MMP-9 and TIMP-1 levels and the MMP-9/TIMP-1 ratio increased with increasing severity of the New York Heart Association class (P for trend = 0.003, 0.011, and 0.005, respectively). Patients with HF events (n = 35) had significantly higher MMP-9 than those without HF events (P = 0.004). Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated a higher probability of HF events with high MMP-9 values (>23.2 ng/mL; P = 0.005). A multivariate Cox proportional hazard model showed that high MMP-9 values were an independent predictor of HF events (hazard ratio, 3.73; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.03-13.46; P = 0.043). In patients with lower BNP levels (<= 210 pg/mL), the adjusted hazard ratio for HF events was 3.63 (95% CI, 1.20-11.02; P = 0.023) among patients with high MMP-9 values compared with patients with low BNP and low MMP-9 values. Conclusions MMP-9 and TIMP-1 levels correlate with the severity of chronic HF. MMP-9 is a strong predictor of HF events, suggesting that a disparity between MMP-9 and TIMP-1 levels and increased MMP-9 levels may help predict HF events.