Journal
ASIA-PACIFIC FINANCIAL MARKETS
Volume 24, Issue 2, Pages 75-107Publisher
SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s10690-017-9225-2
Keywords
Anomaly; GARCH models; Investor sentiments; SAD u Stock returns; Temperature
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We study the effect of mood-proxy variables on index returns and volatility in six South Asian markets. Our mood-proxy variables include six weather (temperature, humidity, cloud cover, air pressure, visibility, and wind speed), three weather indicator variables (fog, thunder storm and rain or drizzle) and two biorhythmic variables (SAD and lunar phases). We adopt a robust approach and attempt to select the best parsimonious econometric model for each market. Our findings suggest that mood-proxy variables have some convincing influences in South Asian capital markets. In some instances, these variables are influencing returns while in other instances they are influencing volatility.
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